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Science is really the ability to predict the next most probable.

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That's what the real meaning of science is.

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Gaining the ability to predict the next most probable.

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When we talk about science, we're talking about a method

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of looking at a situation.

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A method of evaluation that differs from the opinionated system

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"If you ask me, I'll tell you!"

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The scientific method has no special connection to truth.

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It really has a better way

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of looking at things than the earlier systems

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which everything was attributed to gods or demons.

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This is where we get into applying the scientific method to society?

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Yes. Now, this is not in a book yet.

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The scientific method applied to society

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is something people don't think about much.

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But if you want to know where the answers may lie

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it is in the application of the methods of science

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with human concern and environmental concern.

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The Future by Design refers to

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the application of the methods of science, not scientists

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the methods of science for the social system.

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Naturally, even the methods of science undergo change

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and as they change, so would the future.

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If we use the scientific method throughout the world

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the probability of war drops to zero.

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The probability of human suffering disappears.

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Deprivation, poverty, crime, all those things tend to disappear

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because there's no basis for it.

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Jacque spent a lot of time, before studying people,

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he started studying how animals behaved,

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and how to change the behavior of animals,

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or predict the behavior of animals,

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and came to the conclusion that it's really the environment

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that changes behavior, and enables us to behave the way we do.

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We're not born with prejudice and bigotry and anger and greed.

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It's really generated and nurtured by the environment that we live in.

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That's why we feel that unless you change your environment

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and change the experiences,

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we'll get the same aberrant behavior within people

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unless the environment is changed.

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Any culture in the world today tries to

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educate people so they'll serve a function in that particular culture.

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In other words, if you're brought up in a Nazi culture,

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the flag waving and the swastika are the kind of things they put forth.

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If you're brought up in a primitive tribe,

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handling the javelin, the bow and arrow

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would be the kind of thing that you're exposed to.

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So people are conditioned to serve

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the interest of an established culture.

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Who does that to us? The owners of the institutions.

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The establishment.

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So, they give us a value system that will support existing structures.

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Whether it be religious, non-religious, industrial, military.

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When children say, "You know, daddy, what's the greatest country in the world?"

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"Of course our country is the greatest country in the world."

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"Which god is the right god, daddy?"

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"Our god. All the other gods are false gods."

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So picture this: A roman family

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taking it's kids to see the Christians being fed to the lions.

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And the kids are watching; "Dad, can we come next week

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to see Christians being fed to lions?"

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Are these kids sick? No. Their value system is distorted.

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So, I'm strictly concerned with the environment

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that people are reared in, raised in.

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And, if that environment is altered, so will behavior be altered.

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You reorient the environment, and that in turn reorients people.

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But if you reorient people,

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without touching the environment, it'll slip back.

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So, when you try to think about the future, remember this:

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the process with which you think about things

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is based upon indoctrination,

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which you're given by your society. So your range of thought

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is limited by the dominant values of your society.

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So, learning to be flexible in values takes a long time.

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And in talking to kids, when I was very young,

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I had to be very patient with them if I were to make any progress.

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I talked about the concept of God.

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Your concept of God, my concept of God

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and his concept of God. So different.

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I wonder what God is really like,

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or if there is a god for that matter.

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And why would God permit war and disease if he's all loving?

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It didn't make sense to me. Too many clashes.

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So, I questioned that.

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Of course I felt a little uncomfortable

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during questioning the concept of God.

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But then reading about the history and evolution

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of gods... There were many different gods.

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The god of war, the god of peace, the god of love,

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which was more like the people that invented them.

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They behaved, they got angry,  they made sacrifices,

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they created floods when they didn't like the way things were going,

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and this did not come through as superior intelligence.

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Primitive people, going back in time,

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when they saw lightning, they thought that the deity was angry.

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Why else would that occur?

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When a hurricane swept the land,

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they got rid of certain people in their tribe as a sacrifice,

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hoping that the gods would not produce a second hurricane.

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However, if it did occur again,

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then they'd sacrifice some of the younger people.

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Rarely would the chief sacrifice himself.

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But he's always got a whole line of people ready to sacrifice.

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So, you have that problem with human beings.

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Anything that occurs beyond their comprehension,

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they have to invent an excuse for.

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They have to create gods and demons to account for things,

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because people come to the leadership of that community.

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No matter how primitive the tribe, they say:

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"How come bad wind blow people off island?"

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And say*: "You not behave good.

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You not make not 'nough contribution to volcano.

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Throw your brother-in-law into volcano. Maybe it doesn't erupt then."

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So if you throw your brother-in-law into the volcano and it still erupts,

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you have to throw your sister-in-law in. So you get metaphysics.

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You get religion. You get superstition.

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"Knock wood!" Or you wear a rabbits foot.

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Just remember that the rabbit had four of them...

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Didn't do him any good.

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So, on down the line, superstition prevails wherever ignorance prevails.

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Myth is a way of saying

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to the little guy working out there in the field, when he says:

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"What is all this about? I never seem to be getting anywhere."

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"When you kick the bucket, everything is there for you.

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If you don't get it in this life, you'll get it in the next,

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if you remain good."

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The amount of superstition that a culture can absorb

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would be directly proportionate to the amount of information people have.

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So, in the future, with adequate supply of information,

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more than that which is given today, considerably more,

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you don't have "Knock wood.

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Today is my lucky day. When your number is up, it's up."

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All that will disappear in the future.